Why I think Obama will remain President
Yes, a week is a long time in politics and anything can happen between now and U.S. Election day but I predict Barrack Obama will be re-elected for the same reasons he became President 4 years ago. He’s a great orator who embraced a set of policy’s that perfectly resonated with what most Americans were feeling and thinking after 8 years of George Bush’s War on Terror. Namely, that they had grown weary of war in Iraq and Afghanistan and they were pissed off over the financial meltdown of 08. What’s changed?
Yes, the American economy still sucks but I don’t sense most Americans’ realistically blame Obama for that. He may not realize any credit for the marginal improvement in the economy, but I sense he will get a lot of credit for getting bin Laden and for bringing American soldiers home – which leads me to this interview I was able to conduct with 3 American political heavy weights this week in Toronto who were appearing in debate at the “Spirit of Hope” dinner. I spoke with former G. W’s chief of staff Carl Rove, Democratic commentator James Carville & Republican Gov. Mike Huckabee about the upcoming election and the fiercely partisan nature of American Politics.
The Republicans will ramp up their election rhetoric now that Mitt Romney has secured the nomination but I don’t think he has the stuff to move Americans in the way Barrack Obama can.
I’ve learned through experience covering politics, elections and leaders, that one of two things are necessary to swing a vote; A revolutionary or extreme policy that resonates deeply with what the public is thinking and feeling at the time, OR, a compelling, charismatic, leader who’s oratory skill casts a spell. I don’t sense Romney has either of these two things going for him while Barrack Obama still has the latter along with a measurable track record over the last 4 years.